Today has become yet another inauspicious landmark in Belgium's struggle to conform to EU climate targets as for the second time this year the country's regional differences prove an insurmountable barrier to national accord. As a result, Belgium has missed the second deadline to submit its climate plan to the EU.
It isn't the first time we see Belgian politicians disagreeing vociferously about environmental measures, nor will it be the last. But the latest dispute has once more pitched Flanders against the rest of Belgium, as Flemish climate minister Zuhal Demir again refused to budge on the region's climate commitments, which fall short of the national ambition to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 47% in 2030 (compared to 2005 levels).
Adamant that "Flanders is investing enormously in energy savings", Demir is less concerned about bringing Belgium into step with EU climate mandates and more attuned to the concerns of traditional Flemish industries that stand to lose from the tightened regulations.
Most outspoken on this has been the agricultural sector, which hotly contests proposals to curtail nitrogen emissions to such an extent that some farmers would be obliged to wind up operations. The same anger among farming communities in the Netherlands has spawned the Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB) party, which in the four years since its conception has soared in polls to become a major adversary to the establishment.
Taking inspiration from the momentum in the Netherlands, an equivalent party was launched in Flanders in October. It puts "protecting farmers against a lot of strict legislation" front and centre of its agenda and laments that citizens "are increasingly being pushed into corners and boxes."
This same intransigence was evident in Demir's rejection of higher emissions cuts, the Flemish minister instead suggesting that Belgium submits an unharmonised bundle of regional plans and figure out its differences in due course. Whilst this would technically satisfy the immediate EU conditions, Belgium's other regions have pushed back, with green parties arguing that Flanders will pull net reductions down – penalising Belgium as a whole.
Wallonia and Brussels have settled on reductions of 47% whilst Flanders won't go above 40%. By 2030 this would mean national reductions stand at 43% and Belgium liable to fines in the billions for missing its target. The notion that the country as a whole might pay for Flanders' obstinacy sticks in the side of green party ministers, though Demir herself has been sceptical that the EU would impose fines for missing climate targets.
How much longer can Belgium keep up business as usual? Let @Orlando_tbt know.
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