France: Marine Le Pen's political future depends on Monday court ruling

France: Marine Le Pen's political future depends on Monday court ruling
President of Rassemblement National parliamentary group Marine Le Pen attends a session of questions to the Government at the French National Assembly, French Parliament lower house, in Paris on 4 March 2025. Ludovic Marin / AFP / Belga

Marine Le Pen will find out on Monday morning whether she can run for the French presidency in 2027, where she is one of the favourites.

This decision, regarding an alleged embezzlement of public funds, has gripped France's political class due to its electoral implications.

The issue gained prominence after prosecutors stunned the public in November by demanding a five-year ban on Le Pen standing for office, with immediate effect, regardless of any appeal.

If the judges agree, the 56-year-old politician will be unable to stand in the next presidential election in 2027, following three unsuccessful attempts.

"I read here and there that we might be nervous. Personally, I am not, but I understand others might be […] the judges have power over our movement," Le Pen told La Tribune Dimanche. "I do not think they will go that far," she added.

Prosecutors are also seeking a five-year prison sentence, with two years to be served – possibly in the form of community service – and a €300,000 fine.

Le Pen is predicted to lead the first round of the next presidential election, garnering 34% to 37% of the vote according to a Sunday poll. However, this is no guarantee of ultimate victory, as she lost in the second round to current President Emmanuel Macron in both 2017 and 2022.

Despite the fragmented Assembly, Le Pen heads the largest parliamentary group, capable of toppling the government at any moment.

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